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时间:2020-05-25 20:20:46 作者:258369147114 热度:1199℃

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(晨)(枫)(:)(中)(国)(需)(要)1000(枚)(核)(弹)(吗)(?)|||||||

(()(原)(标)(题)(:)(晨)(枫)(:)(中)(国)(需)(要)1000(枚)(核)(弹)(吗)(?)())

(《)(环)(球)(时)(报)(》)(总)(编)(胡)(锡)(进)5(月)8(日)(在)(微)(博)(上)(提)(出)(,)(中)(国)(需)(要)1000(枚)(核)(弹)(和)100(枚)(东)(风)41(,)(以)(抑)(制)(美)(国)(的)(战)(略)(野)(心)(和)(对)(华)(冲)(动)(,)(引)(起)(很)(大)(的)(轰)(动)(。)(据)(斯)(德)(哥)(尔)(摩)(国)(际)(和)(平)(研)(究)(所)(()(简)(称)SIPRI())2019(年)6(月)(发)(布)(的)(报)(告)(,)(中)(国)(现)(有)290(枚)(核)(弹)(,)(在)(世)(界)(上)(排)(名)(第)(四)(,)(居)(美)(国)(、)(俄)(罗)(斯)(、)(法)(国)(之)(后)(。)(值)(得)(指)(出)(的)(是)(,)(在)SIPRI(的)(报)(告)(里)(,)(美)(国)(现)(有)1750(枚)(处)(于)(作)(战)(部)(署)(中)(的)(核)(弹)(,)(另)(有)4435(枚)(处)(于)(“)(备)(用)(”)(状)(态)(;)(俄)(罗)(斯)(现)(有)1600(枚)(处)(于)(作)(战)(状)(态)(,)4900(枚)(处)(于)(“)(备)(用)(”)(状)(态)(;)(法)(国)(现)(有)280(枚)(处)(于)(作)(战)(状)(态)(,)20(枚)(处)(于)(“)(备)(用)(”)(状)(态)(;)(中)(国)(总)(数)290(枚)(,)(但)(多)(少)(处)(于)(作)(战)(状)(态)(、)(多)(少)(处)(于)(“)(备)(用)(”)(状)(态)(不)(明)(。)(所)(以)(按)(照)(总)(数)(来)(算)(,)(中)(国)(处)(于)(第)(四)(,)(但)(把)(总)(数)(全)(部)(算)(作)(作)(战)(状)(态)(,)(则)(略)(微)(超)(过)(法)(国)(,)(居)(第)(三)(。)(英)(国)(则)(有)120(枚)(处)(于)(作)(战)(状)(态)(,)80(枚)(处)(于)(“)(备)(用)(”)(状)(态)(。)(按)(照)(核)(军)(控)(协)(议)(,)(“)(备)(用)(”)(状)(态)(指)(与)(运)(载)(工)(具)(分)(离)(而)(且)(拆)(除)(引)(信)(的)(,)(并)(不)(一)(定)(是)(不)(能)(恢)(复)(作)(战)(状)(态)(的)(。)

(必)(须)(说)(,)SIPRI(的)(估)(计)(属)(于)(不)(可)(不)(信)(、)(不)(可)(全)(信)(的)(那)(种)(。)SIPRI(是)(西)(方)(权)(威)(的)(军)(控)(研)(究)(机)(构)(,)(但)(对)(中)(国)(的)(核)(力)(量)(的)(估)(计)(向)(来)(和)(其)(他)(机)(构)(一)(样)(离)(谱)(。)(对)(东)(风)5(的)(估)(计)(数)(量)(总)(算)(“)(提)(拔)(”)(到)20(枚)(了)(,)(东)(风)31A(为)24(枚)(,)(东)(风)31(为)12(枚)(,)(但)(东)(风)41(数)(量)(不)(明)(。)(另)(有)(海)(基)(的)(巨)(浪)2(,)(据)(估)(计)(为)24(枚)(。)

SIPRI(还)(给)(出)(各)(型)(导)(弹)(的)(携)(带)(核)(弹)(头)(的)(估)(计)(数)(量)(:)(东)(风)41(可)(携)(带)6-10(枚)(核)(弹)(头)(,)(但)(估)(计)(实)(际)(上)(只)(携)(带)3(枚)(,)(其)(余)(空)(间)(用)(于)(携)(带)(协)(助)(突)(防)(的)(假)(弹)(头)(;)(东)(风)5B(可)(携)(带)3-8(枚)(核)(弹)(头)(;)(东)(风)31(和)31A(可)(携)(带)3-5(枚)(核)(弹)(头)(。)(巨)(浪)2(是)(单)(弹)(头)(的)(。)

(巨)(浪)2(导)(弹)(方)(队)

(如)(果)(以)SIPRI(的)(数)(据)(为)(参)(照)(,)(并)(估)(计)(东)(风)41(的)(数)(量)(和)(东)(风)31A(一)(样)(,)(忽)(略)(中)(程)(的)(东)(风)21(和)(巨)(浪)1(,)(那)(中)(国)(的)(核)(弹)(头)(总)(数)(就)(在)264-604(之)(间)(。)SIPRI(可)(能)(是)(按)(下)(限)(估)(算)(的)(,)(再)(加)(上)(东)(风)21(和)(巨)(浪)1(的)(核)(弹)(头)(,)(加)(上)(轰)(炸)(机)(携)(带)(的)(重)(力)(核)(弹)(,)(得)(出)290(的)(数)(字)(可)(以)(理)(解)(。)(但)(按)(照)(上)(限)(计)(算)(,)(则)(要)(翻)(倍)(了)(。)

(中)(国)(核)(力)(量)(的)(实)(力)(是)(保)(密)(的)(。)(中)(国)(从)(未)(宣)(布)(过)(核)(武)(器)(数)(量)(,)(公)(开)(宣)(布)(的)(只)(是)(“)(够)(用)(、)(可)(靠)(”)(。)(中)(国)(也)(宣)(布)(不)(首)(先)(使)(用)(核)(武)(器)(,)(永)(远)(不)(对)(非)(核)(国)(家)(使)(用)(核)(武)(器)(。)(这)(意)(味)(着)(中)(国)(只)(需)(要)(战)(略)(核)(武)(器)(,)(不)(需)(要)(战)(术)(核)(武)(器)(,)(而)(且)(只)(需)(要)(考)(虑)(核)(反)(击)(。)(中)(国)(的)(公)(路)(机)(动)(发)(射)(洲)(际)(导)(弹)(、)(潜)(射)(洲)(际)(导)(弹)(都)(是)(围)(绕)(着)(这)(些)(原)(则)(打)(造)(的)(。)

(相)(关)(新)(闻)(报)(道)

(中)(国)(到)(底)(需)(要)(多)(少)(核)(武)(器)(,)(这)(是)(需)(要)(精)(密)(分)(析)(才)(能)(估)(算)(的)(,)(首)(先)(需)(要)(制)(定)(实)(现)(核)(威)(慑)(的)(标)(准)(,)(比)(如)(说)(,)(需)(要)(摧)(毁)(人)(口)(、)(经)(济)(、)(资)(源)(、)(国)(土)(的)(多)(少)(百)(分)(比)(,)(有)(多)(少)(“)(刚)(需)(”)(目)(标)(,)(然)(后)(需)(要)(考)(虑)(:)

1(、)(战)(略)(目)(标)(的)(数)(量)(、)(位)(置)(、)(地)(形)(、)(面)(积)(、)(加)(固)(程)(度)

2(、)(突)(防)(成)(功)(率)(()(包)(括)(导)(弹)(的)(可)(靠)(性)(、)(精)(确)(性)(和)(对)(手)(的)(战)(略)(反)(导)(因)(素)())

3(、)(在)(遭)(受)(对)(手)(第)(一)(次)(核)(打)(击)(后)(生)(存)(下)(来)(的)(核)(反)(击)(力)(量)

(这)(些)(计)(算)(繁)(杂)(,)(但)(并)(不)(高)(深)(,)(兰)(德)(公)(司)(早)(年)(就)(是)(专)(干)(这)(个)(的)(。)(工)(业)(上)(的)(爆)(炸)(半)(径)(计)(算)(是)(一)(样)(的)(道)(理)(,)(化)(工)(厂)(设)(计)(中)(,)(设)(备)(、)(储)(罐)(的)(间)(距)(,)(中)(控)(室)(距)(离)(装)(置)(的)(间)(距)(和)(加)(固)(要)(求)(,)(辅)(助)(建)(筑)(的)(距)(离)(和)(加)(固)(要)(求)(,)(这)(些)(都)(是)(由)(爆)(炸)(半)(径)(决)(定)(的)(。)(这)(样)(的)(计)(算)(很)(专)(业)(,)(但)(并)(不)(保)(密)(。)

(多)(少)(当)(量)(的)(核)(弹)(能)(在)(什)(么)(距)(离)(上)(造)(成)(多)(少)(超)(压)(,)(这)(也)(是)(能)(查)(到)(公)(开)(数)(据)(的)(。)(假)(设)(空)(爆)(、)(地)(爆)(,)(在)(某)(个)(具)(体)(城)(市)(的)(某)(个)(具)(体)(地)(点)(,)(根)(据)(人)(口)(分)(布)(,)(可)(以)(算)(出)(杀)(伤)(半)(径)(。)(网)(上)(能)(找)(到)(在)(纽)(约)(帝)(国)(大)(厦)(的)(地)(面)(位)(置)(放)(置)15(万)(吨)(核)(弹)(的)(杀)(伤)(计)(算)(,)(这)(是)(针)(对)(恐)(怖)(分)(子)(用)(自)(制)(核)(弹)(进)(行)(昼)(间)(无)(预)(警)(袭)(击)(的)(场)(景)(。)

(根)(据)(计)(算)(,)20psi(()1.36(大)(气)(压)())(超)(压)(的)(爆)(炸)(半)(径)(为)640(米)(,)(其)(中)(火)(球)(半)(径)320(米)(,)(这)(个)(范)(围)(内)(的)75000(人)(无)(幸)(存)(者)(,)(建)(筑)(物)(全)(部)(摧)(毁)(,)(包)(括)(帝)(国)(大)(厦)(、)(麦)(迪)(逊)(广)(场)(花)(园)(体)(育)(馆)(、)(宾)(夕)(法)(尼)(亚)(中)(央)(火)(车)(站)(、)(纽)(约)(图)(书)(馆)(;)10psi(()0.68(大)(气)(压)())(超)(压)(的)(爆)(炸)(半)(径)(为)1600(米)(,)(这)(个)(环)(带)(内)(约)30(万)(丧)(生)(,)(影)(响)(到)(的)(建)(筑)(包)(括)(克)(莱)(斯)(勒)(大)(厦)(、)(洛)(克)(菲)(勒)(中)(心)(、)(联)(合)(国)(和)(四)(座)(医)(院)(;)5psi(()0.34(大)(气)(压)())(超)(压)(的)(爆)(炸)(半)(径)(为)2400(米)(,)(约)19(万)(人)(因)(为)(冲)(击)(波)(丧)(生)(,)(另)(有)3(万)(人)(因)(为)(热)(辐)(射)(丧)(生)(,)(卡)(内)(基)(音)(乐)(厅)(、)(林)(肯)(中)(心)(等)(会)(受)(到)(损)(坏)(;)2psi(()(约)0.14(大)(气)(压)())(超)(压)(的)(爆)(炸)(半)(径)(为)4000(米)(,)(约)23.5(万)(人)(丧)(生)(,)(伤)(亡)(人)(数)(因)(为)(爆)(炸)(半)(径)(的)(环)(内)(有)1/4(在)(哈)(德)(逊)(河)(上)(而)(有)(所)(降)(低)(;)1psi(()0.07(大)(气)(压)())(超)(压)(的)(爆)(炸)(半)(径)(为)6400(米)(,)(波)(及)(世)(贸)(中)(心)(和)(自)(由)(女)(神)(像)(,)(并)(在)(东)(西)(两)(侧)(波)(及)(新)(泽)(西)(和)(皇)(后)(区)(,)(但)(爆)(炸)(威)(力)(已)(经)(大)(大)(降)(低)(,)(砖)(木)(建)(筑)(会)(受)(到)(不)(超)(过)(中)(等)(的)(损)(失)(,)(但)(混)(凝)(土)(或)(者)(钢)(结)(构)(建)(筑)(应)(该)(没)(有)(大)(碍)(,)(基)(本)(上)(无)(人)(丧)(生)(。)(计)(算)(还)(包)(括)(主)(导)(风)(向)(和)(放)(射)(性)(沾)(染)(的)(影)(响)(。)(最)(后)(结)(论)(是)(:)(在)6400(米)(爆)(炸)(半)(径)(内)(,)(共)(有)(近)300(万)(居)(民)(和)(日)(间)(工)(作)(的)(人)(,)(累)(计)(丧)(生)(为)83(万)(人)(,)(受)(伤)87.5(万)(人)(,)(无)(伤)(害)(幸)(存)(者)(约)130(万)(人)(。)

(以)(美)(国)(为)(目)(标)(的)(话)(,)(可)(以)(罗)(列)(所)(有)(值)(得)(攻)(击)(的)(城)(市)(,)(然)(后)(依)(次)(进)(行)(类)(似)(的)(计)(算)(。)(大)(城)(市)(可)(能)(需)(要)(多)(个)(核)(弹)(,)(以)(保)(证)(覆)(盖)(。)(中)(国)(需)(要)(多)(少)(核)(弹)(,)(是)(可)(以)(这)(样)(计)(算)(出)(来)(的)(,)(而)(不)(是)(口)(说)(无)(凭)(地)(“)(中)(国)(需)(要)(至)(少)xxxx(枚)(核)(弹)(”)(。)

(这)(样)(的)(计)(算)(很)(冷)(血)(,)(但)(美)(国)(也)(在)(对)(中)(国)(的)(城)(市)(作)(同)(样)(的)(计)(算)(。)(战)(争)(本)(来)(就)(是)(你)(死)(我)(活)(的)(,)(没)(有)(温)(情)(可)(言)(。)(核)(战)(争)(失)(败)(的)(代)(价)(是)(亡)(国)(灭)(族)(。)(核)(战)(争)(没)(有)(胜)(利)(者)(,)(但)(至)(少)(要)(确)(保)(对)(手)(同)(样)(失)(败)(。)(这)(正)(是)(核)(威)(慑)(的)(意)(义)(。)

!

(但)(是)(还)(有)(另)(外)(一)(个)(算)(法)(。)

(核)(力)(量)(的)(规)(模)(和)(部)(署)(当)(然)(需)(要)(考)(虑)(打)(击)(的)(目)(标)(,)(但)(另)(一)(个)(必)(须)(考)(虑)(的)(是)(生)(存)(力)(和)(战)(备)(部)(署)(需)(要)(。)(核)(大)(战)(的)(最)(大)(特)(点)(是)(毁)(灭)(性)(和)(突)(然)(性)(。)(核)(武)(器)(只)(有)(在)(随)(时)(可)(发)(射)(的)(作)(战)(状)(态)(才)(是)(管)(用)(的)(。)(真)(的)(核)(大)(战)(爆)(发)(的)(时)(候)(,)(是)(来)(不)(及)(等)(储)(存)(的)(核)(武)(器)(拉)(出)(来)(、)(装)(上)(引)(信)(、)(装)(上)(运)(载)(工)(具)(的)(,)(那)(时)(核)(大)(战)(已)(经)(打)(完)(了)(。)(这)(也)(是)(核)(军)(控)(协)(议)(限)(制)(作)(战)(状)(态)(的)(核)(武)(器)(数)(量)(但)(对)(储)(存)(状)(态)(的)(数)(量)(限)(制)(较)(松)(的)(原)(因)(。)(所)(以)(核)(力)(量)(的)(总)(数)(重)(要)(,)(更)(重)(要)(的)(是)(处)(于)(核)(战)(备)(状)(态)(的)(核)(力)(量)(。)

(核)(力)(量)(需)(要)(三)(位)(一)(体)(:)(陆)(基)(、)(海)(基)(、)(空)(中)(。)(中)(国)(的)(强)(项)(在)(于)(陆)(基)(,)(海)(基)(已)(经)(起)(步)(,)(空)(中)(还)(比)(较)(欠)(缺)(。)

(海)(基)(核)(力)(量)(的)(主)(力)(是)(潜)(射)(洲)(际)(导)(弹)(,)(其)(发)(射)(平)(台)(是)(战)(略)(导)(弹)(核)(潜)(艇)(。)094(级)(的)(数)(量)(是)(一)(个)(谜)(,)(但)(按)(照)(核)(军)(备)(的)(常)(备)(不)(懈)(原)(则)(,)(下)(一)(代)(的)096(应)(该)(努)(力)(达)(到)(一)(艘)(巡)(逻)(、)(一)(艘)(航)(渡)/(休)(整)(、)(一)(艘)(维)(修)(的)(可)(持)(续)(循)(环)(。)(但)(如)(果)(只)(有)(一)(艘)(在)(战)(位)(巡)(航)(,)(可)(能)(会)(因)(为)(故)(障)(、)(被)(偷)(袭)(击)(沉)(等)(各)(种)(因)(素)(导)(致)(中)(国)(实)(质)(上)(失)(去)(海)(基)(核)(反)(击)(的)(力)(量)(,)(所)(以)(最)(低)(限)(度)(需)(要)(有)(两)(艘)(在)(航)(,)(也)(就)(是)(说)(,)(最)(低)(限)(度)(需)(要)6(艘)(。)(比)(照)(起)(来)(,)(美)(国)(哥)(伦)(比)(亚)(级)(计)(划)(建)(造)12(艘)(,)(英)(国)(前)(卫)(级)(和)(法)(国)(凯)(旋)(级)(各)4(艘)(。)(这)(样)(看)(来)(,)(中)(国)096(的)6(艘)(是)(合)(理)(的)(。)

(据)(报)(道)(,)(现)(有)(的)(巨)(浪)1(的)(射)(程)(不)(到)1800(公)(里)(,)(用)(于)(战)(略)(威)(慑)(是)(不)(够)(的)(。)(巨)(浪)2(的)(射)(程)(增)(加)(到)7200(公)(里)(,)(依)(然)(不)(够)(。)(巨)(浪)3(还)(是)(一)(个)(传)(说)(。)(以)(美)(国)(三)(叉)(戟)D5(作)(为)(参)(照)(,)(射)(程)(达)(到)12000(公)(里)(,)(最)(多)(可)(携)(带)8(枚)45.5(万)(吨)(当)(量)(的)W88(核)(弹)(,)(或)(者)14(枚)10(万)(吨)(当)(量)(的)W76(核)(弹)(。)(假)(定)(更)(新)(一)(代)(的)096(核)(潜)(艇)(能)(携)(带)16(枚)(于)(三)(叉)(戟)D5(相)(当)(的)(巨)(浪)3(()(英)(国)(前)(卫)(级)(和)(法)(国)(凯)(旋)(级)(都)(携)(带)16(枚)(潜)(射)(洲)(际)(导)(弹)(,)(美)(国)(下)(一)(代)(哥)(伦)(比)(亚)(级)(也)(从)(俄)(亥)(俄)(级)(的)24(枚)(降)(低)(到)16(枚)())(,)6(艘)096(就)(需)(要)(装)(备)96(枚)(巨)(浪)3(。)(如)(果)(比)(照)(东)(风)41(的)6-10(枚)(核)(弹)(头)(,)(这)(就)(已)(经)(可)(能)(多)(达)960(枚)(核)(弹)(了)(,)(已)(经)(差)(不)(多)(是)(胡)(锡)(进)(所)(说)(的)1000(枚)(核)(弹)(了)(。)(即)(使)(像)(东)(风)41(一)(样)(,)(只)(带)3(枚)(,)(余)(下)(的)(空)(间)(用)(于)(假)(弹)(头)(和)(其)(他)(突)(防)(手)(段)(,)(也)(达)288(枚)(。)(任)(何)(时)(间)(都)(有)(两)(艘)(在)(航)(,)(意)(味)(着)(有)96(枚)(核)(弹)(头)(随)(时)(待)(命)(。)

(巨)(浪)3(和)(东)(风)41(相)(加)(,)(意)(味)(着)(中)(国)(可)(随)(时)(有)(至)(少)276(枚)(核)(弹)(可)(供)(使)(用)(,)(与)SIPRI(估)(计)(的)290(枚)(很)(相)(近)(了)(,)(不)(同)(的)(是)(,)(从)290(枚)(包)(括)(作)(战)(状)(态)(和)(非)(作)(战)(状)(态)(()(休)(整)(、)(维)(修)(等)())(变)(为)276(枚)(随)(时)(处)(于)(作)(战)(状)(态)(,)(而)(作)(战)(状)(态)(的)(核)(弹)(总)(数)(更)(是)(达)(到)588(枚)(。)

(东)(风)41

(东)(风)41(的)(数)(量)(不)(明)(。)(考)(虑)(到)(美)(国)(拥)(有)450(枚)(民)(兵)III(,)(中)(国)(拥)(有)100(枚)(东)(风)41(实)(在)(不)(能)(算)(多)(。)(陆)(基)(的)(公)(路)(机)(动)(发)(射)(洲)(际)(导)(弹)(的)(休)(整)(、)(维)(修)(要)(求)(比)(核)(潜)(艇)(低)(,)(平)(日)(并)(不)(需)(要)(在)(公)(路)(上)(到)(处)(游)(逛)(,)(战)(时)(可)(随)(时)(从)(隐)(蔽)(基)(地)(出)(击)(和)(发)(射)(,)(战)(备)(率)(高)(。)(假)(定)(在)(任)(何)(时)(候)(有)(至)(少)60%(的)(东)(风)41(可)(投)(入)(作)(战)(,)(每)(枚)(如)SIPRI(所)(估)(计)(的)(携)(带)3(枚)(核)(弹)(头)(,)(就)(有)180(枚)(弹)(头)(可)(用)(。)

(东)(风)41(将)(不)(是)(中)(国)(唯)(一)(的)(陆)(基)(核)(力)(量)(,)(利)(用)(东)(风)31(一)(级)(的)(运)(载)(火)(箭)(发)(射)(的)(洲)(际)(高)(超)(音)(速)(核)(导)(弹)(是)(不)(需)(要)(太)(多)(想)(象)(的)(。)(考)(虑)(到)(大)(气)(层)(内)(起)(滑)(和)(大)(幅)(度)(横)(向)(机)(动)(能)(力)(,)(这)(样)(的)(“)(超)(级)(东)(风)17(”)(对)(美)(国)(战)(略)(反)(导)(系)(统)(将)(是)(极)(大)(的)(挑)(战)(,)(更)(是)(东)(风)41(的)(有)(力)(补)(充)(。)(即)(使)(只)(用)(单)(弹)(头)(,)(但)(部)(署)(总)(数)(达)(到)(与)(东)(风)41(相)(似)(的)100(枚)(,)(这)(就)(使)(得)(作)(战)(状)(态)(的)(核)(弹)(总)(数)(达)(到)688(枚)(了)(。)

(在)(海)(上)(,)(潜)(射)(中)(远)(程)(高)(超)(音)(速)(导)(弹)(可)(以)(通)(过)(攻)(击)(核)(潜)(艇)(,)(从)(中)(太)(平)(洋)(发)(射)(,)(射)(程)(足)(以)(威)(胁)(美)(国)(本)(土)(。)(但)(这)(可)(能)(需)(要)(大)(筒)(垂)(发)(,)(而)(攻)(击)(核)(潜)(艇)(的)(主)(要)(任)(务)(还)(是)(常)(规)(的)(,)(因)(此)(数)(量)(可)(能)(有)(限)(。)(中)(国)(的)(空)(中)(核)(力)(量)(将)(在)(轰)-20(和)(空)(射)(洲)(际)(导)(弹)(之)(后)(大)(大)(发)(展)(,)(所)(代)(表)(的)(数)(量)(现)(在)(还)(难)(以)(预)(计)(,)(但)(上)(百)(应)(该)(是)(至)(少)(了)(。)(上)(述)(估)(计)(都)(是)(按)(照)SIPRI(的)(最)(低)(估)(计)(,)(如)(果)(实)(际)(携)(带)(的)(核)(弹)(头)(数)(量)(高)(于)(最)(低)(估)(计)(,)(加)(上)(东)(风)31(、)(东)(风)21(、)(巨)(浪)2(等)(,)(核)(弹)(头)(总)(数)(就)(轻)(易)(过)(千)(了)(。)(更)(何)(况)(除)(了)(作)(战)(部)(署)(的)(核)(弹)(头)(,)(还)(需)(要)(一)(些)(储)(存)(的)(。)(这)(并)(非)(是)(像)(美)(俄)(那)(样)(为)(了)(满)(足)(核)(军)(控)(协)(议)(而)(把)(作)(战)(部)(署)(的)(核)(弹)(头)(转)(为)(储)(存)(,)(而)(是)(为)(了)(正)(常)(维)(修)(和)(轮)(换)(。)(核)(弹)(头)(也)(是)(需)(要)(维)(修)(的)(。)(也)(就)(是)(说)(,)(即)(使)(不)(从)(打)(击)(需)(要)(,)(而)(是)(从)(维)(持)(可)(信)(、)(可)(靠)(、)(可)(见)(的)(核)(力)(量)(,)(中)(国)(也)(需)(要)1000(枚)(核)(弹)(。)

(有)(说)(法)(认)(为)(胡)(锡)(进)(在)(暗)(示)(中)(国)(已)(经)(有)1000(枚)(核)(弹)(了)(,)(也)(有)(人)(认)(为)(胡)(锡)(进)(只)(是)(在)(为)(中)(国)(增)(加)(核)(弹)(造)(声)(势)(。)(不)(管)(是)(哪)(一)(种)(情)(况)(,)(正)(如)(华)(春)(莹)(在)(回)(答)(外)(媒)(记)(者)(询)(问)(中)(指)(出)(的)(,)(中)(国)(有)(言)(论)(自)(由)(,)(胡)(锡)(进)(到)(底)(是)(什)(么)(意)(思)(,)(应)(该)(问)(他)(去)(。)

(核)(武)(器)(是)(很)(昂)(贵)(的)(,)(但)(中)(国)(有)(能)(力)(负)(担)(。)(中)(国)(的)(购)(买)(力)(平)(价)GDP(已)(经)(超)(过)(美)(国)(,)(而)(军)(费)(在)GDP(中)(的)(占)(比)(只)(有)(美)(国)(的)(一)(半)(,)(有)(这)(个)(空)(间)(。)(核)(威)(慑)(的)(重)(要)(一)(点)(是)(要)(使)(得)(对)(手)(确)(信)(:)(一)(旦)(越)(过)(核)(门)(槛)(,)(最)(好)(的)(结)(局)(也)(只)(是)(亡)(国)(灭)(族)(。)(在)(不)(出)(头)(的)(年)(代)(,)(中)(国)(在)(核)(实)(力)(方)(面)(的)(刻)(意)(模)(糊)(政)(策)(在)(确)(保)(最)(低)(威)(慑)(方)(面)(是)(有)(效)(的)(。)(时)(代)(不)(同)(了)(,)(崛)(起)(的)(中)(国)(一)(如)(水)(落)(石)(出)(,)(不)(出)(头)(也)(不)(行)(了)(,)(现)(在)(需)(要)(最)(大)(威)(慑)(了)(。)(中)(国)(不)(一)(定)(需)(要)(公)(开)(核)(实)(力)(,)(但)(迫)(使)(对)(手)(认)(识)(到)(核)(投)(机)(的)(极)(端)(危)(险)(性)(还)(是)(有)(必)(要)(的)(。)

(本)(文)(系)(观)(察)(者)(网)(独)(家)(稿)(件)(,)(文)(章)(内)(容)(纯)(属)(作)(者)(个)(人)(观)(点)(,)(不)(代)(表)(平)(台)(观)(点)(,)(未)(经)(授)(权)(,)(不)(得)(转)(载)(,)(否)(则)(将)(追)(究)(法)(律)(责)(任)(。)(关)(注)(观)(察)(者)(网)(微)(信)guanchacn(,)(每)(日)(阅)(读)(趣)(味)(文)(章)(。)

(相)(关)(推)(荐) (胡)(锡)(进)(呼)(吁)(扩)(充)(核)(武) (专)(家):(他)(用)(随)(份)(子)(钱)(逻)(辑)(算)(的)? (胡)(锡)(进)(呼)(吁)(扩)(充)(核)(武)(库)(被)(批) (回)(应):(别)(限)(制)(媒)(体)(人)(说)(啥) netease (本)(文)(来)(源)(:)(观)(察)(者)(网) (作)(者)(:)(晨)(枫) (责)(任)(编)(辑)(:)(盛)(雨)(晴)_NBJS10200

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